2024 - Will the ANC still rule?
Scenarios for South Africa
Speakers at the public online discussion
ISS; HSF
Panelists discuss findings of new report
At this interactive online seminar, speakers discussed a new report just published by Dr. Jakkie Cilliers, Head of the African Futures and Innovation Program at the Institute for Security Studies. Titled "The ANC and South Africa: visions of the future", its introduction states: “Outcomes of the 2024 election will determine the future of the ruling party and the country. This report presents various political scenarios for the future of South Africa. The most likely course of events is that Cyril Ramaphosa will be re-elected as president of the ruling African National Congress (ANC) in December 2022, even as ongoing divisions wrack the party. The ANC gets 48% in 2024, but stitches together a governing coalition. South Africa’s economy will grow, but slowly. A decisive win for Ramaphosa’s faction could unlock more rapid growth, while victory for the so-called Radical Economic Transformation camp could have unexpected positive outcomes.”
Watch a recording of the engaging and enlightening discussion here:
At this joint event (15th February 2022), Dr Jakkie Cilliers, Head of the African Futures and Innovation Programme at the ISS, presented on the impact of the ANC’s possible choices at the party’s elective conference 2022 on the 2024 and 2029 elections, and discussed them with Lindiwe Mazibuko, Co-Founder & CEO of Futurelect and News24's Adriaan Basson and Mpumelelo Mkhabela.
HSF
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