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Exploring the impact of COVID-19 in Africa: a scenario analysis to 2030

  • 2020
  • Cilliers, Jakkie ; Oosthuizen, Marius ; Kwasi, Stellah ; Alexander, Kelly ; Pooe, TK ; Kouassi, Yeboua ; Moyer, Jonathan D.
  • Monografie/Band
Description

The 10-year-forecast study uses the International Monetary Fund's April 2020 growth forecast, combined with mortality data from Imperial College in London to model three scenarios on the likely impact of COVID-19 on Africa's economic growth, per capita income, poverty and Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) targets until 2030. COVID-19 has created a human development crisis in Africa but is an opportunity to accelerate infrastructure investment and economic reform to boost the continent's prospects when the pandemic subsides. Focus areas of practical recommendations outlined in the report include health systems, digitalisation and potential steps to deal with the emerging debt crisis.